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2 to 4 cyclones likely to form in July


By Ellalyn de Vera Ruiz

The formation of two to four tropical cyclones is likely this July, which could either make landfall or veer away north of the country, according to the state weather bureau.



Based on the historical record of the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA), two to four cyclones usually enter or form inside the country’s area of responsibility in July, which either move west or northwest of Luzon.

July-September period is the peak of southwest monsoon season, locally known as “habagat” and tropical cyclone activity is at its maximum, PAGASA said.

During the period, rain-inducing weather systems, such as thunderstorms, tropical cyclones and intertropical convergence zone will dominate the season bringing heavy rainfall and strong winds, it added. However, monsoon breaks are likely to occur during the period.

PAGASA also noted that the occurrence of thunderstorm is higher in July and August than any other period during the year, manifested by higher incidence of sudden heavy rains.

This month, PAGASA said that rainfall will be near to above normal in most parts of Luzon, while rainfall will be below to near normal in most parts of Visayas and Mindanao.

According to PAGASA weather specialist Meno Mendoza, Zambales, Bataan, Palawan, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Romblon, and Western Visayas will be affected by habagat and will experience scattered monsoon rains this Tuesday.

He added that severe tropical storm “Florita” (Prapiroon) has already moved outside the Philippine area of responsibility and will no longer affect the country.

Meanwhile, Metro Manila and the rest of the country will have cloudy to cloudy skies with isolated rain showers due to localized thunderstorms.

The public, especially those living in low-lying and mountainous areas throughout the country, are warned against possible flooding and landslides resulting from light to moderate to at times heavy rains. (Ellalyn De Vera-Ruiz)

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